Perhaps, there is more of a thought of that robots are becoming more mainstream. The thoughts of having self driving cars (which are just big commercial robots) has become more of an inevitability. Just as the chances of seeing robotic characters in a Star Wars (or any space themed) movie.
To me, mainstream will be when you see robots actively working in daily life. Walking around London over the Christmas break, I did not see very many (any) robots, so there is still some time before they are truly mainstream.
In the meanwhile, here are some interesting developments I have personally noted: (and I am not talking about drones now, they tend not to be autonomous, and in some cases can be somewhat evil.)
Ah, the world of Inspection robotics, probably the most applicable use cases for today's robot technology.
Gecko Robotics - Recently raised $40M USD in series B round of investment.
|Gecko Robotics - Pipe Inspection robot|
Honeybee Robotics is another robotics company with inspection robots. They have been in business since 1983 and active in Space, Defence, Medical, and Oil/Gas industries. From the website, it seems that they have been very instrumental (pun?) in working with space exploration robotics, specifically the mars rovers. Most recently, the Phoenix drilling robot probe. For inspection robotics, they do not seem to have as much to offer, but you have the love the cute little (tiny) pipe crawling camera platforms.
|Honeybee robotics magnetic Mecanum wheel technology|
|Honeybee Robotics camera pipe inspector|
|Versatrax by Inuktun, now part of Eddify|
|Versitrax modular track by - Inuktun|
GE Inspection Robotics - probably the market leader? I don't know for sure. But, I do know that GE is a top player in any industry the participate in. As a leader in power systems, they would have a strong need to provide inspection robotics for pipelines, boilers, crackers, etc. The Inspection Robotics division is HQ in Zurich. They seemed to have acquired a number of robotics and software companies and are working to incorporate their technologies together. This is very typical of a large industrial player that can grow by acquiring innovative tech capabilities. (I am not knocking on the engineers that made these fine technologies!)
The Bike platform is one of their compact inspectors with strong magnetic wheels and mobilies technologies. It can drive/cross over a 90 degree corner!
|GE Inspection Robotics - Bike Platform|
Robot business opportunity, eh? On a little more along the lines of small business, there are many small companies that will custom build inspection (and tactical) robots for you. Here is one I recently found, that is located in the US state of North Carolina.
SuperDroid Robots They specialize in their own custom built robots. Prices range from a few thousand USD to tens of thousands USD. Check out their site, they have a lot of unique builds and many custom "fun" robots.
|SuperDroid "RealCow Robotic System" - probably their most absurd robot (cowbot?)|
speaking of tactical robots for warfighters...
DARPA's grand subterranean challenge - DARPAs grand challenge seems to be moving long. They have recently completed stage 2 of the challenge.
|DARPAs SubT Tunnel Challenge|
Here is a great article by Popular Mechanics about the results of the DARPA Subterranean Challenge and the man-made Tunnel Circuit. I think the impact of this will either be on the receiving end of lidar options, or it could spurn additional research in the Lidar/SLAM aspects of robotic development. If you read the article, keep an eye out for the "robot with robots", this is one of my favorite themes for future robot explorations!
On the Software side of Robots
There have been a lot of improvements to software systems that will operate and control the robots of the future. Many of these are open projects, that provide tools for 'the rest of us' to use in our hobbies and businesses. Some of the most basic, are tools like the Robot Operating System (ROS) and simulators such as Gazebo. I would like to focus a little more on one aspect that will be required for Autonomous robots - Computer visions. Specifially Computer vision that will be used for simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM)
OpenCV is leading the way for computer vision with many libraries and easy to use.
openMVG uses multiple images and views to perform photogramy, or constructing the 3D space from graphical images.
With the strong focus by the industry on self driving cars there will be significant enhancements in lidar technology. This should lead to reduced cost for the sensors, and perhaps the processing being moved to a chip to provide direct sensor measurements to the robots SLAM routines.
Ambarella - Computer Vision on a chip, has a new robotics platform and partnership with Amazon. they started their business with video processing chips, but pivoted to providing CV on a chip. This is similar to the open source project of OpenCV (?). At any rate, this is the types of innovations that will be coming in the next years. Many of the open AI type processing necessary for robotics will be moving to fast implementations on a chip. (you can also think of this similar to GPUs being broken out from code to a chip).
they will need to work on their messaging a bit, their website states:
Our intelligent video devices use face detection, analytics, and multi-object CNN classification to enhance security in businesses and homes, without the need for the cloud.This might be contrary to the interest of their new partner, Amazon. And a final note about Ambarella, as concerns over our society becoming more and more a surveillance state, this example from their advertising could be interpreted in poor taste:
|Is surveillance becoming the new norm?|
So, What (else) to Watch in 2020?
Will Amazon have any success in aligning their robotic offerings with these many disparate companies which do their own processing.
As Boston Dynamics goes comercial, will there be a 'trough of disillusionment' (from the Gartner Hype Cycle) as it applies to robotic dog platforms? It is a remote observation platform, that can walk in all weather and surfaces. but with remote observation and (limited?) manipulation. Or will we find new use cases that make it a viable, value added, platform.
|Boston Dynamics - An Android and his Dog|
As an obvious result of the Spot Mini, we have seen many new quadruped robots. All of these knock-offs (and I mean that in a good way) seem to have exact same capabilities and servo placements etc. It is my hope that we quickly move on from this and start to see some truly innovative approaches to robotics, after all they do not have to look like dogs or humans. They just need to be able to perform. This is evident in BDs third robot, Handle, that looks nothing like a human or dog. This robot is built entirely for function, it seems without any thought of form. If anything it looks like a very awkward bird, ok now I am doing the anima-morphing.
|Boston Dynamics - Handle|
So, What Would Elon Musk Do? (#WWEMD?) How would you build your robot business?
Actually, I would not be surprised to hear that SpaceX is thinking about roving robotics. After all, the Falcon 9 is a robot ship (?). But most of all Space exploration is going to require A LOT of new autonomous robots.